Chiefs vs. 49ers odds, spread: 2020 Super Bowl picks, predictions from model on 96-65 run

The AFC champion Kansas City Chiefs will go for their first title in 50 years when they face the NFC champion San Francisco 49ers in the 2020 Super Bowl on Sunday, Feb. 2. Kickoff from Hard Rock Stadium in Miami is set for 6:30 p.m. ET. Kansas City (14-4) is making its first appearance in this event since the 1969 season, when it topped Minnesota to win Super Bowl IV.

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The Chiefs, who are 7-0-1 against the spread during their eight-game winning streak, are coming off impressive double-digit playoff victories over Houston and Tennessee after spotting them the first 24 and 10 points, respectively. San Francisco (15-3) is looking to pull even with New England and Pittsburgh for the most Super Bowl titles with six. Kansas City is a one-point favorite in the Chiefs vs. 49ers odds, while the over-under for total points scored is 54. Before locking in any 49ers vs. Chiefs picks or 2020 Super Bowl predictions, make sure you see what SportsLine’s proven projection model has to say.

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The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception four-plus years ago. It has nailed its recent top-rated NFL picks, entering the 2020 Super Bowl on a strong 34-22 run that dates back to last season. It’s also on an incredible 96-65 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch the past three years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players last season. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Chiefs vs. 49ers in the Super Bowl 2020. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NFL lines and trends for 49ers vs. Chiefs:

  • Chiefs vs. 49ers spread: Kansas City -1
  • Chiefs vs. 49ers over-under: 54 points
  • Chiefs vs. 49ers money line: Kansas City -121, San Francisco +101
  • KC: Chiefs are averaging 43 points in the 2020 NFL Playoffs
  • SF: 49ers haven’t allowed a running play of more than 11 yards in the postseason

Why the Chiefs can cover

The model knows that Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes has dazzled thus far in the postseason. The 24-year-old quarterback completed 23-of-35 passes in each contest, throwing for 321 yards and five touchdowns against the Texans before recording 294 and three versus the Titans. Mahomes ran for 53 yards in both victories.

Mahomes was Kansas City’s leading rusher in the AFC Championship Game, gaining more than half of his yardage on a highlight-reel touchdown scamper late in the second quarter that put the Chiefs ahead for good. The 2018 NFL MVP’s postseason career has gotten off to a strong start, as he has thrown 11 scoring passes without being intercepted in four outings.

Why the 49ers can cover

While Kansas City faced early double-digit deficits in its two playoff contests, San Francisco has yet to trail this postseason and has been tied for a total of only 27:48. The Niners did all of their damage against Green Bay on the ground, rushing for 285 yards, the most gained in an NFL playoff game since Chicago racked up 381 in a 73-0 victory over Washington on Dec. 8, 1940.

Raheem Mostert, who led San Francisco with 772 rushing yards during the regular season despite not hitting triple-digits in any contest, carried 29 times for 220 yards and four touchdowns in the 37-20 triumph over the Packers. The 27-year-old was the first player in history to run for 200 yards and four TDs in a playoff game, record 150 rushing yards and three scores in the first half of a postseason contest, and score on the ground four times in a conference championship game.

How to make Chiefs vs. 49ers picks

We can tell you that the model is leaning under, and it also has generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine. Source: cbssports.com

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